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Red87
313243.5
56485.7
472910.2
Blue29
573111.1
461339.9
47395.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424801001508729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.53.1
32.035.1
Auto3.2
Teleop40.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
39.91.5
32.631.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop40.3
End0.0
Second
4729
#19
10.23.1
8.211.3
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5731
#25
11.11.5
9.58.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
5648
#29
5.73.1
4.17.2
Auto1.2
Teleop4.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
4739
#31
5.61.5
7.15.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0