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Red50
508715.6
576115.0
558421.8
Blue20
300815.4
56017.1
480210.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3925060801005020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.8
15.716.5
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
15.40.2
15.715.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
5087
#15
15.60.8
13.514.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 5.3
4802
#21
10.30.2
7.77.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
15.00.8
9.310.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 7.9
5601
#33
7.10.2
4.74.6
Auto0.7
Teleop6.4
End0.0