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Red35
558421.8
46145.7
48178.0
Blue36
425329.6
453713.6
472910.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244804060801001201403536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.4
16.516.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 7.8
29.60.7
24.724.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
4817
#27
8.00.4
5.96.3
Auto0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4537
#10
13.60.7
10.39.6
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
4614
#26
5.70.4
6.46.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4729
#19
10.20.7
11.310.6
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0