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Qual 652015 Australia Regional
Red43
452910.9
559314.2
512711.9
Blue39
573111.1
472910.2
478810.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35250204060801004339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5593
#16
14.20.5
12.6→13.0
Auto0.9
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
5731
#25
11.10.6
7.5→8.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Second
5127
#12
11.90.5
11.6→12.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
4788
#20
10.70.6
10.1→10.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
4529
#17
10.90.5
10.6→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 0.6
4729
#19
10.20.6
9.9→10.6
Auto1.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0