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Red22
533112.5
55656.6
573111.1
Blue24
478810.7
300815.4
452910.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22300501001502224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5331
#11
12.50.2
8.38.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
15.40.5
13.613.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
5731
#25
11.10.2
7.97.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.2
4529
#17
10.90.5
9.28.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
5565
#24
6.60.2
8.18.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4788
#20
10.70.5
6.96.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.9
End0.0