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Red33
284010.4
546514.1
248626.9
Blue26
170019.8
49824.6
416018.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801001203326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
26.90.8
28.727.9
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 2.3
498
#7
24.61.2
12.711.5
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
5465
#29
14.11.2
6.85.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 5.7
1700
#13
19.81.2
16.215.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
2840
#36
10.41.2
11.510.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 8.4
4160
#19
18.71.2
11.410.2
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0