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Red6
313317.3
284010.4
30488.7
Blue18
547518.1
385318.3
69817.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130010204050607080618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3133
#22
17.32.1
14.512.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3853
#12
18.30.7
14.413.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
Second
2840
#36
10.42.1
10.48.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5475
#17
18.10.7
9.79.0
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3048
#34
8.72.1
6.44.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 8.4
698
#24
17.20.7
8.17.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0