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Red44
101118.5
546514.1
315822.5
Blue12
48416.4
52078.6
129019.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4524060801001204412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.0
20.120.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 2.9
1290
#10
19.61.4
12.911.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
1011
#28
18.50.0
13.413.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 9.9
5207
#35
8.61.4
10.49.0
Auto0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
Third
5465
#29
14.10.0
10.410.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
4841
#38
6.41.4
5.23.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0