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Qual 412015 Arizona East Regional
Red8
237517.4
48416.4
301920.8
Blue10
553915.1
69817.2
163312.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331015202530354045810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#16
20.82.2
18.2→16.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
698
#24
17.22.0
13.0→11.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
2375
#20
17.41.3
12.4→11.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
5539
#25
15.12.0
12.5→10.4
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
4841
#38
6.42.2
3.9→1.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 5.9
1633
#32
12.42.0
8.7→6.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0