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Red50
99614.6
394432.3
240317.3
Blue50
116525.8
284010.4
129019.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060801001205050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.2
17.617.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
25.81.1
12.813.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
2403
#30
17.30.2
17.918.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
1290
#10
19.61.1
13.514.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
996
#27
14.60.2
11.611.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
2840
#36
10.41.1
8.59.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0