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Red66
547518.1
266219.6
301920.8
Blue68
302118.5
248626.9
101118.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3558020801001201401606668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#16
20.81.9
13.615.5
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2486
#11
26.90.6
26.126.7
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
2662
#15
19.61.9
13.915.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
1011
#28DQ
18.50.8
15.716.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
5475
#17
18.11.9
12.814.6
Auto0.6
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3021
#14
18.50.6
14.615.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0