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Red104
129019.6
6042.1
170019.8
Blue97
416018.7
302118.5
301920.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63420208010012014010497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#2
42.12.8
31.234.0
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 21.3
3019
#16
20.83.3
15.518.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
1700
#13
19.82.8
16.619.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 1.1
4160
#19
18.73.3
16.419.8
Auto0.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
1290
#10
19.62.8
14.617.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
3021
#14
18.52.5
15.117.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0