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Red99
69817.2
49824.6
418334.8
Blue110
163312.4
129019.6
153853.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5880010015020099110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.8
26.027.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 19.0
53.81.7
50.752.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
498
#7
24.62.0
22.424.4
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
1290
#10
19.61.7
18.119.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
698
#24
17.22.0
15.217.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 4.8
1633
#32
12.41.7
10.712.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0