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Red48
553915.1
170019.8
449614.5
Blue23
284010.4
301920.8
240317.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465301001502004823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#13
19.80.0
20.120.1
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3019
#16
20.81.7
22.420.7
Auto0.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
5539
#25
15.10.0
15.315.2
Auto0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2403
#30
17.31.7
19.017.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4496
#33
14.50.0
13.113.1
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
2840
#36
10.41.7
12.110.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.5
End0.0