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Red116
394432.3
418334.8
414624.2
Blue63
302118.5
116525.8
264718.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7857010015020011663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.6
30.130.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 9.0
25.80.0
25.725.7
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
32.30.6
27.528.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 13.8
3021
#14
18.50.0
18.318.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4146
#31
24.20.6
19.520.1
Auto0.0
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
2647
#18
18.10.0
18.018.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0