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Red151
6042.1
153853.8
449614.5
Blue70
302118.5
116525.8
264718.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11550010015020015170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.7
53.253.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.8
End0.0
red by 28.0
25.80.1
25.725.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
60
#2
42.10.7
41.542.2
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 23.6
3021
#14
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
4496
#33
14.50.7
14.014.7
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
2647
#18
18.10.1
18.018.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0