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Red62
302118.5
116525.8
264718.1
Blue40
248626.9
49824.6
182816.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596801002003004005006240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 1.1
2486
#11
26.90.5
27.426.9
Auto1.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
3021
#14
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 6.1
498
#7
24.60.5
25.124.6
Auto0.3
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
2647
#18
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 1.9
1828
#23
16.20.5
16.716.2
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0