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Red64
49821.4
498512.0
172636.1
Blue10
33217.6
49625.0
484113.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6520040801001201401606410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.10.2
29.029.2
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
red by 22.3
4841
#14
13.80.9
9.78.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Second
498
#23
21.40.2
22.722.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 13.9
3321
#31
7.61.5
8.67.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
Third
4985
#24
12.00.3
8.38.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 7.1
4962
#33
5.01.5
9.27.8
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0