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Red6
46298.1
249322.7
33217.6
Blue121
240315.8
521811.4
330972.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22920501502002506121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.4
20.018.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 50.0
72.71.8
59.761.5
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
4629
#29
8.12.3
5.73.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 7.7
2403
#28
15.81.8
13.415.2
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
3321
#31
7.62.3
8.46.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5218
#25
11.43.0
11.514.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0