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Red38
378525.5
28447.2
99117.8
Blue51
237520.2
414625.9
49625.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365801001502003851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.1
17.517.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4146
#12
25.90.0
22.122.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
991
#21
17.80.1
15.615.5
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2375
#16
20.20.0
20.720.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
2844
#32
7.20.2
7.97.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
red by 2.2
4962
#33
5.00.0
14.114.1
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0