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Red31
510110.8
357722.1
473526.7
Blue20
456516.7
240315.8
33217.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54330204060801001201403120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
23.823.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 10.0
4565
#22
16.71.4
15.213.9
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
22.10.8
21.921.1
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
2403
#28
15.80.9
13.312.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5101
#26
10.81.2
6.75.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
3321
#31
7.61.4
8.97.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0