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Red128
129020.5
323061.5
520013.8
Blue74
46298.1
469617.4
172636.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1053905015020012874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.51.5
59.961.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 25.4
36.11.4
32.734.2
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
1290
#10
20.51.5
23.925.4
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 3.1
4696
#15
17.41.4
14.816.2
Auto1.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
5200
#18
13.82.0
14.416.4
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
4629
#29
8.11.9
3.65.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End0.0