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Red50
49821.4
240315.8
357722.1
Blue28
28447.2
116530.1
121211.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565530405060705028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.4
19.619.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 8.0
1165
#11
30.11.5
32.030.5
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Second
498
#23
21.40.4
25.425.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 9.5
1212
#30
11.92.0
16.514.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
2403
#28
15.80.4
13.112.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 8.6
2844
#32
7.22.0
9.07.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0