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Red51
494422.9
473526.7
507517.3
Blue44
172636.1
99117.8
510110.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445401001502002503003505144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
16.416.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
36.10.7
26.625.9
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
4944
#19
22.90.2
22.022.3
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
991
#21
17.80.5
18.217.7
Auto0.8
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5075
#20
17.30.3
8.58.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 6.5
5101
#26
10.80.9
9.78.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0