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Red30
129020.5
313316.0
50597.5
Blue15
49625.0
172636.1
366923.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39690501001503015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1290
#10
20.50.7
25.424.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 15.6
36.12.6
34.231.6
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
3133
#27
16.00.7
13.312.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
3669
#13
23.02.6
22.620.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
5059
#34
7.50.9
6.15.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
4962
#33
5.03.2
10.06.9
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0