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Red4
49625.0
510110.8
521811.4
Blue112
330972.7
520013.8
318716.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151100501502002504112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5218
#25
11.41.2
14.112.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 61.4
72.70.6
67.568.1
Auto11.0
Teleop61.8
End0.0
Second
5101
#26
10.81.2
9.98.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 6.0
3187
#17
16.80.6
17.117.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
4962
#33
5.01.2
6.95.7
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 8.8
5200
#18
13.80.7
14.815.5
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0