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Qual 742015 Arizona West Regional
Red24
49625.0
318716.8
378525.5
Blue6
33217.6
498512.0
494422.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45430206080246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3785
#6
25.50.7
21.4→20.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 2.5
4944
#19
22.92.0
21.9→19.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
3187
#17
16.80.7
17.8→17.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 4.7
4985
#24
12.02.0
14.3→12.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4962
#33
5.00.7
5.7→5.0
Auto0.4
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3321
#31
7.62.0
9.6→7.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0