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Red96
116530.1
323061.5
456516.7
Blue122
172636.1
378525.5
240315.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11255010015020096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.2
61.261.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 25.4
36.10.9
32.433.3
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
1165
#11
30.10.2
29.929.7
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 4.7
25.50.9
21.722.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
4565
#22
16.70.2
16.416.2
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
2403
#28
15.80.9
12.013.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0