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Red136
116530.1
323061.5
456516.7
Blue82
313316.0
249322.7
494422.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11347010015020013682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.5
61.061.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.8
End0.0
red by 38.6
4944
#19
22.90.4
22.122.5
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
1165
#11
30.10.5
29.730.1
Auto0.0
Teleop30.1
End0.0
red by 7.4
22.70.4
21.922.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Third
4565
#22
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 0.7
3133
#27
16.00.4
15.215.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0