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Red86
313316.0
249322.7
494422.9
Blue118
172636.1
378525.5
240315.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5672010015020025086118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#19
22.90.4
22.522.9
Auto1.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 13.2
36.10.8
34.235.0
Auto0.3
Teleop35.8
End0.0
Second
22.70.4
22.322.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
25.50.8
23.624.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop26.4
End0.0
Third
3133
#27
16.00.4
15.616.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
2403
#28
15.80.8
13.914.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.2
End0.0