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Red116
12556.7
19586.2
71624.8
Blue209
206770.3
216856.9
456454.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159178050100200250300350116209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 15.9
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Second
125
#16
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Third
716
#44
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 29.4
4564
#15
54.20.0
54.254.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0