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Red32
206770.3
395823.2
18126.5
Blue55
50145.7
31957.1
12556.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107162502002503003255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 13.2
319
#4
57.10.0
57.157.1
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Second
181
#52
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 30.2
125
#16
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Third
3958
#46
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 22.5
501
#31
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0