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Red57
331446.8
206770.3
16643.4
Blue48
512250.3
147418.8
404853.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163110501502002505748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 16.5
4048
#11
53.80.0
53.853.8
Auto0.9
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
3314
#29
46.80.0
46.846.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
blue by 3.5
50.30.0
50.350.3
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Third
166
#30
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 24.5
1474
#55
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0