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Red10
22829.0
234259.9
511228.7
Blue84
346764.2
128915.5
371926.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116100501502001084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#37
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3467
#17
64.20.0
64.264.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
228
#18
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
3719
#12
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
5112
#43
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
1289
#28
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0