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Red45
409722.0
12556.7
9528.8
Blue162
17246.7
19586.2
83931.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9117105015020025030045162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#16
56.70.0
56.756.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 29.4
195
#1
86.20.0
86.286.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
95
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 17.9
172
#36
46.70.0
46.746.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
4097
#38
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 9.4
839
#13
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0