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Red69
107334.6
23065.3
9528.8
Blue84
199134.6
271328.1
208423.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133740501001502002506984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#35
65.30.0
65.365.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 30.8
1991
#23
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto0.7
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
1073
#48
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 6.5
2713
#33
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
95
#20
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 5.0
2084
#14
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0