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Red114
115320.8
206770.3
13832.6
Blue47
207919.7
226213.5
346764.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1258805010015020011447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.30.0
70.370.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
3467
#17
64.20.0
64.264.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Second
138
#27
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 12.9
2079
#51
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
1153
#42
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
2262
#34
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0