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Qual 552015 BattleCry 16
Red25
352528.6
409722.0
417619.2
Blue41
540013.1
355519.3
12660.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63940501502002541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#26
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 31.3
126
#9
60.00.0
60.0→60.0
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Second
4097
#38
22.00.0
22.0→22.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
3555
#24
19.30.0
19.3→19.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4176
#40
19.20.0
19.2→19.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
5400
#41
13.10.0
13.1→13.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0