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Qual 572015 BattleCry 16
Red42
110040.2
13832.6
88541.9
Blue76
128915.5
12556.7
19026.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114910501502004276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#53
41.90.0
41.9→41.9
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 14.8
125
#16
56.70.0
56.7→56.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
Second
1100
#39
40.20.0
40.2→40.2
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
190
#45
26.10.0
26.1→26.1
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
138
#27
32.60.0
32.6→32.6
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 17.1
1289
#28
15.50.0
15.5→15.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0