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Qual 592015 BattleCry 16
Red18
107334.6
17246.7
173541.6
Blue184
512250.3
206770.3
22829.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11315005020025018184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#36
46.70.0
46.7→46.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.7
End0.0
blue by 23.6
2067
#5
70.30.0
70.3→70.3
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
Second
1735
#50
41.60.0
41.6→41.6
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5122
#6
50.30.0
50.3→50.3
Auto0.7
Teleop49.6
End0.0
Third
1073
#48
34.60.0
34.6→34.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
red by 5.6
228
#18
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0