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Qual 612015 BattleCry 16
Red116
31957.1
23065.3
13124.4
Blue129
12660.0
352528.6
15730.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810950200250116129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#35
65.30.0
65.3→65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
126
#9
60.00.0
60.0→60.0
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
Second
319
#4
57.10.0
57.1→57.1
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
red by 26.8
157
#25
30.20.0
30.2→30.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Third
131
#47
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3525
#26
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0