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Red14
264822.9
511228.7
18126.5
Blue152
540013.1
283672.3
216856.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61151010020025014152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5112
#43
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 43.6
72.30.0
72.372.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
181
#52
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto0.7
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 30.4
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Third
2648
#54
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 9.8
5400
#41
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0