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Red52
208423.8
234259.9
88541.9
Blue102
22829.0
226213.5
83931.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326005010015020052102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#37
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 28.5
839
#13
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto0.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
885
#53
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 13.0
228
#18
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
2084
#14
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 10.3
2262
#34
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.9
End0.0