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Red81
107334.6
208423.8
12660.0
Blue75
234259.9
16643.4
207919.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116116801001401601808175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#9
60.00.0
60.060.0
Auto0.2
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
2342
#37
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto10.5
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
1073
#48
34.60.0
34.634.6
Auto1.0
Teleop33.6
End0.0
blue by 8.8
166
#30
43.40.0
43.443.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Third
2084
#14
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 4.1
2079
#51
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0