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Semifinal pool 12015 BattleCry 16
Red208
12556.7
19586.2
71624.8
Blue134
346764.2
283672.3
568611.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16613850100150200250208134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
86.20.0
86.2→86.2
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 13.8
2836
#3
72.30.0
72.3→72.3
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
125
#16
56.70.0
56.7→56.7
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 7.5
3467
#17
64.20.0
64.2→64.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
Third
716
#44
24.80.0
24.8→24.8
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 13.8
5686
#32
11.00.0
11.0→11.0
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0