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Red4
58088.1
1671B18.0
9250-7.9
Blue42
54584.6
166229.2
385933.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271050100150442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.5
30.729.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 15.2
33.21.1
34.133.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
Second
5808
#12
8.11.5
-4.9-6.4
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 21.1
29.21.1
24.823.7
Auto1.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
9250
#18
-7.91.5
-3.7-5.2
Auto0.0
Teleop-7.9
End0.0
blue by 12.4
4.61.1
5.44.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop5.2
End0.0