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Red100
385933.2
167166.4
46438.0
Blue24
70140.2
54584.6
208540.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9393305070809010010024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.2
61.461.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop66.9
End0.0
red by 25.6
40.83.6
48.244.5
Auto0.1
Teleop40.7
End0.0
Second
33.20.2
31.531.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop34.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
701
#6
40.23.6
43.239.5
Auto1.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
4643
#10
8.00.2
3.94.1
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
4.63.6
5.21.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop5.2
End0.0