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Red102
166229.2
348210.2
167166.4
Blue122
325030.3
167893.8
70140.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73182050100150200250300102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.4
61.562.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop66.9
End0.0
blue by 27.4
93.82.4
98.095.6
Auto14.1
Teleop79.7
End0.0
Second
29.20.4
22.522.9
Auto1.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 11.0
701
#6
40.22.4
39.537.1
Auto1.1
Teleop39.2
End0.0
Third
3482
#16
10.20.4
9.59.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 20.2
30.32.4
33.230.8
Auto1.2
Teleop29.2
End0.0