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Red98
318913.5
1671B18.0
167166.4
Blue16
348210.2
46438.0
207312.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107110501502009816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.40.1
62.562.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop66.9
End0.0
red by 54.3
2073
#14
12.10.6
10.910.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Second
18.00.2
21.521.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 7.9
3482
#16
10.20.6
8.47.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
3189
#11
13.50.1
11.611.7
Auto0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
4643
#10
8.00.6
7.87.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End0.0