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Red40
207312.1
208540.8
348210.2
Blue36
9250-7.9
166229.2
46438.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651102040801001201404036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.0
39.838.8
Auto0.1
Teleop40.7
End0.0
red by 11.6
29.20.8
26.327.1
Auto1.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Second
2073
#14
12.11.0
10.910.0
Auto1.8
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
4643
#10
8.00.8
5.46.2
Auto0.8
Teleop7.3
End0.0
Third
3482
#16
10.21.0
8.47.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 18.0
9250
#18
-7.90.9
-11.2-10.3
Auto0.0
Teleop-7.9
End0.0